Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.000038 0.000044 0.000049 0.000055 0.000062 0.000070 0.000078
2024-11-03 0.000030 0.000037 0.000045 0.000055 0.000066 0.000079 0.000095
2024-11-10 0.000026 0.000034 0.000044 0.000056 0.000071 0.000090 0.000113
2024-11-17 0.000023 0.000032 0.000042 0.000057 0.000076 0.000099 0.000130
2024-11-24 0.000020 0.000030 0.000041 0.000058 0.000080 0.000108 0.000147
2024-12-01 0.000018 0.000027 0.000039 0.000057 0.000081 0.000114 0.000159
2024-12-08 0.000016 0.000025 0.000037 0.000056 0.000083 0.000119 0.000170
2024-12-15 0.000014 0.000023 0.000037 0.000057 0.000086 0.000126 0.000185
2024-12-22 0.000013 0.000023 0.000037 0.000058 0.000091 0.000136 0.000204
2024-12-29 0.000012 0.000022 0.000036 0.000059 0.000094 0.000144 0.000220
2025-01-05 0.000012 0.000021 0.000036 0.000061 0.000099 0.000154 0.000240
2025-01-12 0.000011 0.000020 0.000035 0.000059 0.000099 0.000157 0.000250
2025-01-19 0.000010 0.000019 0.000034 0.000060 0.000102 0.000165 0.000267
2025-01-26 0.000009 0.000018 0.000033 0.000059 0.000103 0.000170 0.000280
2025-02-02 0.000008 0.000017 0.000033 0.000061 0.000107 0.000181 0.000301
2025-02-09 0.000008 0.000017 0.000033 0.000062 0.000111 0.000190 0.000322
2025-02-16 0.000007 0.000016 0.000032 0.000063 0.000115 0.000200 0.000343
2025-02-23 0.000007 0.000015 0.000031 0.000062 0.000115 0.000204 0.000355
2025-03-02 0.000006 0.000014 0.000030 0.000061 0.000116 0.000208 0.000368
2025-03-09 0.000006 0.000014 0.000030 0.000061 0.000119 0.000216 0.000387
2025-03-16 0.000006 0.000014 0.000030 0.000063 0.000124 0.000229 0.000414
2025-03-23 0.000005 0.000013 0.000030 0.000064 0.000127 0.000237 0.000435
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000013 0.000030 0.000065 0.000133 0.000250 0.000464